Republicans brace for tough midterms after Tennessee special election

By MEG KINNARD and JOEY CAPPELLETTI Republicans held onto a reliably conservative U S House district in Tennessee s special poll but only after a late burst of national spending and high-profile campaigning helped them secure a margin less than half of last year s race Even with that preeminence the outcome contributed to a gloomy outlook for the party going into the midterms that will determine control of Congress Republicans will need to defend much more vulnerable seats if they have any hope of keeping their House majority while Democrats are capitalizing on President Donald Trump s unpopularity and the masses s persistent frustration with the market system The danger signs are there and we shouldn t have had to spend that kind of money to hold that kind of seat disclosed Jason Roe a national Republican strategist working on battleground races next year He revealed that Democratic enthusiasm is dramatically higher than Republican enthusiasm Republican Matt Van Epps a military veteran and former state general services commissioner defeated Democratic state Rep Aftyn Behn by percentage points on Tuesday for the seat vacated by Republican Mark Green who retired over the summer Green had won reelection in by percentage points Special elections provide a limited window into the mood of voters and take place under far different conditions than regular campaign cycles But specific Republicans are acknowledging the warning signs especially after Democrats had convincing victories in New Jersey Virginia and elsewhere last month Tennessee was the fifth House special referendum this year and Democratic candidates have outperformed Kamala Harris showing in the presidential race by an average of percentage points in the same districts We could have lost this district U S Sen Ted Cruz R-Texas narrated Fox News after The Associated Press called the race for Van Epps Cruz noted his party must set out the alarm bells because next year is going to be a turnout poll and the left will show up Trump dismisses affordability concerns Although inflation has dropped since Democratic President Joe Biden was in office Behn focused her campaign on the lingering concerns about prices Trump has played down the affordability issue saying during a Cabinet meeting Tuesday that it was a con job by his political opponents There s this fake narrative that the Democrats talk about affordability he disclosed They just say the word It doesn t mean anything to anybody they just say it Roe viewed things differently He commented the Tennessee race had better be a wake-up call that we ve got to address the affordability issue and the president denying that affordability is a political issue is not helpful Maintaining House control is crucial for Trump who fears a repeat of his first term when Democrats flipped the House and launched an impeachment inquiry The Republican president has been leaning on GOP-led states to redraw congressional maps to improve the party s chances Related Articles Trump pardons Texas Democratic Rep Cuellar in bribery and conspiracy affair Billionaire spacewalker is back before the Senate seeking NASA s top job Progressive group targets Senate Democrats for backing Trump s judicial nominees Pete Hegseth faces deepening scrutiny from Congress over boat strikes Academic society bans Larry Summers for life over his close ties to Jeffrey Epstein Trump campaigned for Van Epps boosting him during the primary with an endorsement and participating in two tele-rallies during the general referendum The Republican National Committee also deployed staffers and partnered with state functionaries to get voters to the polls MAGA Inc the super political action committee that had gone dark since supporting Trump in reemerged to back Van Epps with about million U S House Speaker Mike Johnson R-La visited the Nashville-area district on Monday When you re in a deep red district sometimes people assume that the Republican the conservative will win he reported Tuesday And you cannot assume that because anything can happen Chip Saltsman a political strategist and former Tennessee Republican Party chair commented his party had brought in its heaviest hitters just because there were not other competing contests not because Republicans feared a loss It s the only balloting going on Why wouldn t the speaker come he petitioned There was one race and you would expect everybody to do everything they could Democrats see promise despite loss The House Majority PAC put million behind Behn After she lost Democratic national party chair stated Behn s performance was a flashing warning sign for Republicans heading into the midterms in Behn stated her campaign had inspired an entire country Let s keep going she urged voters after her loss We re not done Not now not ever Although Democrats were optimistic the product contributed to various murmuring within the party about the best path forward as it grasps for a path back to power in Washington Among special elections this year the shift in Behn s direction was the second smallest providing an opening for specific factions that believe more moderate candidates would fare better Each time we nominate a far-left candidate in a swing district who declares themselves to be radical and alienates the voters in the middle who deliver majorities we set back that cause revealed a message from Lanae Erickson a senior vice president at Third Way a centrist Democrat think tank Republicans tried to turn Behn s own words against her in television ads such as when she described herself as a radical or claimed to be bullying immigration agents and state police officers Also cited were comments Behn made about Nashville years ago when she disclosed I hate this city and complained about bachelorette parties Several high-profile progressive leaders including U S Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D-N Y had rallied for Behn in the campaign s final days Associated Press writer Maya Sweedler contributed 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